Summer 2018 Discussion & Forecasts

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Canada Goose
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Summer 2018 Discussion & Forecasts

Postby Canada Goose » Mon May 07, 2018 5:05 pm

Here is the ECMWF forecast for June:

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NOAA monthly forecast for MJJ:

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It sounds great... 8-)
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Canada Goose
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Re: Summer 2018 Discussion & Forecasts

Postby Canada Goose » Wed May 09, 2018 9:49 am

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Heat, wildfire threat to build over interior British Columbia

The warm and dry weather that will dominate the Prairies this summer will also extend across western Canada into much of British Columbia.

There will be a higher number of warm spells across interior British Columbia, especially during the second half of the summer, Anderson said.

The interior areas for British Columbia will also face a risk of wildfires as the summer progresses.

Much of the heat will focus farther inland as areas closer to the Pacific coast experience more comfortable conditions.

“Fairly typical summer conditions are expected across southwestern coastal British Columbia, including Vancouver,” Anderson said.

In Vancouver, this translates to afternoon temperatures in the lower 20s C and overnight lows around 13 C.
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Canada Goose
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Re: Summer 2018 Discussion & Forecasts

Postby Canada Goose » Fri May 25, 2018 9:35 pm

590x449_05251704_may25a.png


590x449_05251704_may25b.png


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Is anyone interested in summer? 8-)
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Monty67
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Re: Summer 2018 Discussion & Forecasts

Postby Monty67 » Fri May 25, 2018 11:21 pm

Canada Goose wrote:590x449_05251704_may25a.png

590x449_05251704_may25b.png

590x449_05251705_may25c.png

Is anyone interested in summer? 8-)

Gotta try to get the veggie garden planted this weekend
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Abby_wx
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Re: Summer 2018 Discussion & Forecasts

Postby Abby_wx » Sat May 26, 2018 12:16 am

A lot of those maps seem to contradict each other. He says near normal for the coast, but his own interpretation of the ECMWF shows hot conditions.

Edit: I see those were posted 16 days apart, so that might explain it.

I get the feeling this summer will hit hard early. It could be one of those years that starts off very hot, then trends toward seasonal or even below seasonal. It might average out near normal, but will be anything but normal.

Edit 2: I'm not making a forecast, I'm just giving my impression of how things are evolving.
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Abby_wx
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Re: Summer 2018 Discussion & Forecasts

Postby Abby_wx » Sat May 26, 2018 11:15 am

Hotter and drier than normal summer forecast for B.C. according to Environment Canada:
http://theprovince.com/news/local-news/ ... 86961cbc81

Environment Canada forecast for June-July-August, produced on April 30th, shows 70-80% probability of above normal temperatures for southwestern BC. There's even a pocket of 80-90% around Nanaimo. :lol:

s234pfe1t_cal.gif
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"It's not logical... it's meteorological."

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Rain_Down_On_Me
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Re: Summer 2018 Discussion & Forecasts

Postby Rain_Down_On_Me » Sat May 26, 2018 7:01 pm

i hope these forecasts bust as much as the winter ones did! Normal summer conditions for once pretty please?

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AbbyJr
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Re: Summer 2018 Discussion & Forecasts

Postby AbbyJr » Mon May 28, 2018 3:26 pm

Summer forecast courtesy of TWN and Global BC. Both are predicting hot and dry with a bad fire season.

https://www.theweathernetwork.com/news/ ... ll/102326/

https://globalnews.ca/news/4231832/cana ... cast-2018/

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Re: Summer 2018 Discussion & Forecasts

Postby Canada Goose » Wed May 30, 2018 8:47 am

Image

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Abby_wx
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Re: Summer 2018 Discussion & Forecasts

Postby Abby_wx » Wed May 30, 2018 11:55 am

The first week of June looks below seasonal and damp. In other words, typical June weather. The models diverge after that.
"It's not logical... it's meteorological."

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