October 2017 Current Conditions and Forecasts

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Typeing3
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Posts: 4545
Location: Coquitlam, Elevation 25m (80ft)

Re: October 2017 Current Conditions and Forecasts

Postby Typeing3 » Mon Oct 30, 2017 9:12 pm

Monty67 wrote:
Missionbcwx wrote:Well it looks like the models are collapsing towards climo. Oh well it was too good to be true and way to early for anything good.

I don’t think the models have changed much the past few days.

Reverse psychology! :lol:
East Coquitlam. Elevation 25m(80ft).

Spring/Summer 2018
Last freeze: April 2 (-0.8C)
First 15C: March 11 (17.9C)
First 20C: March 12 (21.4C)
First 25C: April 24 (25.3C)
First 30C: May 13 (30.8C)
Hottest Temp 2018: 31.3C (May 14)

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SardisBCwxman
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Former Username: Missionbcwx
Location: Sardis, B.C. Elevation: 0 Ft.

Re: October 2017 Current Conditions and Forecasts

Postby SardisBCwxman » Mon Oct 30, 2017 9:26 pm

Typeing3 wrote:
Monty67 wrote:
Missionbcwx wrote:Well it looks like the models are collapsing towards climo. Oh well it was too good to be true and way to early for anything good.

I don’t think the models have changed much the past few days.

Reverse psychology! :lol:
Too much on shore flow means climo eventually doesn't it. I thought the low was looking like it was a coastal slider. I'm being a Warmcoaster tonight.
Sardine Can

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Monty67
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Posts: 5156
Location: Shawnigan Lake, Southern Vancouver Island. 150m (500ft)

Re: October 2017 Current Conditions and Forecasts

Postby Monty67 » Mon Oct 30, 2017 9:44 pm

Missionbcwx wrote:
Typeing3 wrote:
Monty67 wrote:I don’t think the models have changed much the past few days.

Reverse psychology! :lol:
Too much on shore flow means climo eventually doesn't it. I thought the low was looking like it was a coastal slider. I'm being a Warmcoaster tonight.

Next week isn’t looking very exciting, yes, the models have been all over the place with that.

This weekends trough is looking very anomalously cold for The first few days of November.
Located at the north end of Shawnigan Lake. 500ft elevation

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AbbyJr
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Location: Central Abbotsford 50 m ASL

Re: October 2017 Current Conditions and Forecasts

Postby AbbyJr » Mon Oct 30, 2017 10:22 pm

Euro still looks good I think... :)

Screen Shot 2017-10-30 at 10.21.38 PM.png
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wetcoast91
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Posts: 1609
Location: New Westminster

Re: October 2017 Current Conditions and Forecasts

Postby wetcoast91 » Mon Oct 30, 2017 10:25 pm

I see potential for mixed precip with some embedded t-storms. Sun angle and ground still too warm to allow for significent accumulations.

All snow maps are way off. Models are too aggressive with the onset of colder air.

Signs are there for a decent pattern for snow lovers down the line. Prominent ridge over 150W looks to be in the cards this NDJ period.

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Bear Golden
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Location: Downtown Vancouver (480ft ASL)

Re: October 2017 Current Conditions and Forecasts

Postby Bear Golden » Mon Oct 30, 2017 10:26 pm

wetcoast91 wrote:I see potential for mixed precip with some embedded t-storms. Sun angle and ground still too warm to allow for significent accumulations.

All snow maps are way off. Models are too aggressive with the onset of colder air.

Signs are there for a decent pattern for snow lovers down the line. Prominent ridge over 150W looks to be in the cards this NDJ period.


annnnnnnnnnd he's back

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Storm
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Former Username: van city
Location: North Burnaby

Re: October 2017 Current Conditions and Forecasts

Postby Storm » Mon Oct 30, 2017 10:31 pm

Bear Golden wrote:
wetcoast91 wrote:I see potential for mixed precip with some embedded t-storms. Sun angle and ground still too warm to allow for significent accumulations.

All snow maps are way off. Models are too aggressive with the onset of colder air.

Signs are there for a decent pattern for snow lovers down the line. Prominent ridge over 150W looks to be in the cards this NDJ period.


annnnnnnnnnd he's back


Lol.
Location: North Burnaby, (elevation 63m. or 206.8 feet)

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Monty67
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Posts: 5156
Location: Shawnigan Lake, Southern Vancouver Island. 150m (500ft)

Re: October 2017 Current Conditions and Forecasts

Postby Monty67 » Mon Oct 30, 2017 10:35 pm

wetcoast91 wrote:I see potential for mixed precip with some embedded t-storms. Sun angle and ground still too warm to allow for significent accumulations.

All snow maps are way off. Models are too aggressive with the onset of colder air.

Signs are there for a decent pattern for snow lovers down the line. Prominent ridge over 150W looks to be in the cards this NDJ period.

What’s our sun angle at now. Equivalent to February 10th?
Located at the north end of Shawnigan Lake. 500ft elevation

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stuffradio
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Posts: 3493
Location: Maple Ridge

Re: October 2017 Current Conditions and Forecasts

Postby stuffradio » Mon Oct 30, 2017 10:38 pm

abbyweather wrote:Euro still looks good I think... :)

Screen Shot 2017-10-30 at 10.21.38 PM.png

That would still be for the 12Z.

On another note, hour 384 is a major snowstorm on the 00z... 523 thickness and lots of precip.

wetcoast91
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Posts: 1609
Location: New Westminster

Re: October 2017 Current Conditions and Forecasts

Postby wetcoast91 » Mon Oct 30, 2017 10:38 pm

Ok let's try it again...

Massive snowstorm in the cards for Thursday night into the weekend as a big low pressure stalls over BC for the next few days. Expect a meter of snow each day with a total of 5 meters when all is set and done in some spots.

Vancouver - 3 meters
Parksville - 5 meters
Victoria - 2 meters
Bellingham - 3 meters
Chilliwack - 2 meters
Abbotsford - 1 cm of slush

Next week looks cold as the sun vanishes. Expect temps to drop below -70C as the Lower Mainland becomes completely uninhabitable.


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