Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

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Typeing3
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Posts: 4545
Location: Coquitlam, Elevation 25m (80ft)

Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

Postby Typeing3 » Thu Aug 31, 2017 9:16 pm

I know it seems early, but meteorological fall starts tomorrow! The next thing we'll know, it'll be November and we'll be tracking the first snowfall/arctic outbreak of the season which shows up in the long range GFS.

Latest CFS shows a Moderate La Nina:
Image

As of now, I'm fairly confident we'll see a good winter that features below average temps and more snowfall the La Nina/low solar combination usually treats our region very well. La Nina's normally play out like this:
Image

Joe Bastardi with weatherbell is calling for above average snowfall next winter which is highly unusual for him:
Image


What do you guys think :?: Will next winter be as harsh as the last, or perhaps even colder and snowier or will we transition back to our recent trend of warmer winters? And will we finally get a classic January which features a prolonged arctic outbreak with snow which we've been evading for the better part of the past 30 years? Everyone post their thoughts/forecasts here! :)
East Coquitlam. Elevation 25m(80ft).

Spring/Summer 2018
Last freeze: April 2 (-0.8C)
First 15C: March 11 (17.9C)
First 20C: March 12 (21.4C)
First 25C: April 24 (25.3C)
First 30C: May 13 (30.8C)
Hottest Temp 2018: 31.3C (May 14)

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Typeing3
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Posts: 4545
Location: Coquitlam, Elevation 25m (80ft)

Re: Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

Postby Typeing3 » Thu Aug 31, 2017 10:11 pm

Latest CanSIPS (Canadian long range model) prediction for DJF.
Temps:
Image
Precip:
Image
500mb height anomaly:
Image
East Coquitlam. Elevation 25m(80ft).

Spring/Summer 2018
Last freeze: April 2 (-0.8C)
First 15C: March 11 (17.9C)
First 20C: March 12 (21.4C)
First 25C: April 24 (25.3C)
First 30C: May 13 (30.8C)
Hottest Temp 2018: 31.3C (May 14)

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stuffradio
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Posts: 3305
Location: Maple Ridge

Re: Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

Postby stuffradio » Thu Aug 31, 2017 10:16 pm

... I was just coming here to post that Typeing3!

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Typeing3
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Posts: 4545
Location: Coquitlam, Elevation 25m (80ft)

Re: Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

Postby Typeing3 » Thu Aug 31, 2017 10:26 pm

stuffradio wrote:... I was just coming here to post that Typeing3!

You can still post the individual months...January looks awesome. :D
East Coquitlam. Elevation 25m(80ft).

Spring/Summer 2018
Last freeze: April 2 (-0.8C)
First 15C: March 11 (17.9C)
First 20C: March 12 (21.4C)
First 25C: April 24 (25.3C)
First 30C: May 13 (30.8C)
Hottest Temp 2018: 31.3C (May 14)

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Abby_wx
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Location: Abbotsford, BC
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Re: Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

Postby Abby_wx » Thu Aug 31, 2017 10:35 pm

It's funny how we're right smack in the middle of the white area on all three maps. :lol:
"It's not logical... it's meteorological."

Near Hwy 1 McCallum exit; elevation 55 m (180 ft).
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-w ... =IBCABBOT1

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stuffradio
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Posts: 3305
Location: Maple Ridge

Re: Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

Postby stuffradio » Thu Aug 31, 2017 10:40 pm

Abby_wx wrote:It's funny how we're right smack in the middle of the white area on all three maps. :lol:

Yeah but those are just the three month averages. Here's January

cansips_T850a_namer_5.png

cansips_T2ma_namer_5.png

cansips_apcpna_month_namer_5.png
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Rain_Down_On_Me
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Posts: 684
Location: East Vancouver. Elevation 45 metres. Distance from screw zone: 0 metres.

Re: Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

Postby Rain_Down_On_Me » Thu Aug 31, 2017 10:48 pm

Typeing3 wrote:Latest CanSIPS (Canadian long range model) prediction for DJF.
Temps:
Image
Precip:
Image
500mb height anomaly:
Image


I'm sorry but is that third pic not basically an atmospheric dick penetrating the united states?

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Typeing3
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Posts: 4545
Location: Coquitlam, Elevation 25m (80ft)

Re: Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

Postby Typeing3 » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:08 am

Rain_Down_On_Me wrote:
Typeing3 wrote:Latest CanSIPS (Canadian long range model) prediction for DJF.
Temps:

Precip:

500mb height anomaly:


I'm sorry but is that third pic not basically an atmospheric dick penetrating the united states?

:lol: :lol: :lol:
East Coquitlam. Elevation 25m(80ft).

Spring/Summer 2018
Last freeze: April 2 (-0.8C)
First 15C: March 11 (17.9C)
First 20C: March 12 (21.4C)
First 25C: April 24 (25.3C)
First 30C: May 13 (30.8C)
Hottest Temp 2018: 31.3C (May 14)

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Typeing3
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4545
Location: Coquitlam, Elevation 25m (80ft)

Re: Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

Postby Typeing3 » Fri Sep 01, 2017 12:32 pm

"Suppressed Jet" pattern showing up on the CFS. SImilar to last Dec??

Image
Image
East Coquitlam. Elevation 25m(80ft).

Spring/Summer 2018
Last freeze: April 2 (-0.8C)
First 15C: March 11 (17.9C)
First 20C: March 12 (21.4C)
First 25C: April 24 (25.3C)
First 30C: May 13 (30.8C)
Hottest Temp 2018: 31.3C (May 14)

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SardisBCwxman
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Posts: 4145
Former Username: Missionbcwx
Location: Sardis, B.C. Elevation: 0 Ft.

Re: Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

Postby SardisBCwxman » Mon Sep 04, 2017 4:04 pm

Typeing3 wrote:"Suppressed Jet" pattern showing up on the CFS. SImilar to last Dec??

Image
Image
oh yeah baby! :D
Sardine Can


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