Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

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Monty67
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Location: Shawnigan Lake, Southern Vancouver Island. 150m (500ft)

Re: Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

Postby Monty67 » Wed Sep 13, 2017 10:05 am

MJO related temperature anomalies during winter.

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Located at the north end of Shawnigan Lake. 500ft elevation

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Typeing3
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Posts: 2364
Location: Coquitlam, Elevation 25m (80ft)

Re: Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

Postby Typeing3 » Wed Sep 13, 2017 4:25 pm

Monty what are your analogs for the winter? I've seen these years been mentioned on a couple other forums: 1962-63, 1967-68, 1970-71, 1980-81, 1984-85, 1985-86, 2005-06, 2007-08 and 2008-09.
Near Lougheed Hwy and Chilko Dr, Coquitlam. Elevation 25m(80ft).

Michael1
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Posts: 511
Location: Parksville BC

Re: Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

Postby Michael1 » Wed Sep 13, 2017 7:10 pm

Monty67 wrote:
Hawk wrote:Wow those maps are impressively anomolous cold in the Pacific. Did we have high solar activities those periods? I don't know where to look for that ;)

Makes last winter look kinda average then i guess

High solar yes.


This is a good site for solar and near earth objects: http://www.spaceweather.com/

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Monty67
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Posts: 3518
Location: Shawnigan Lake, Southern Vancouver Island. 150m (500ft)

Re: Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

Postby Monty67 » Wed Sep 13, 2017 8:27 pm

Typeing3 wrote:Monty what are your analogs for the winter? I've seen these years been mentioned on a couple other forums: 1962-63, 1967-68, 1970-71, 1980-81, 1984-85, 1985-86, 2005-06, 2007-08 and 2008-09.

It's pretty early but 74-75, 84-85, 96-97, 07-08
Located at the north end of Shawnigan Lake. 500ft elevation

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Typeing3
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Posts: 2364
Location: Coquitlam, Elevation 25m (80ft)

Re: Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

Postby Typeing3 » Wed Sep 13, 2017 10:49 pm

I believe the September update of the jamestec came out today. Could someone post it? I can't seem to access the site.
Near Lougheed Hwy and Chilko Dr, Coquitlam. Elevation 25m(80ft).

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stuffradio
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Posts: 2754
Location: Maple Ridge

Re: Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

Postby stuffradio » Wed Sep 13, 2017 11:34 pm

Typeing3 wrote:I believe the September update of the jamestec came out today. Could someone post it? I can't seem to access the site.

Jamstec DJF.gif
Jamstec DJF.gif (28.06 KiB) Viewed 105 times

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Typeing3
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Posts: 2364
Location: Coquitlam, Elevation 25m (80ft)

Re: Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

Postby Typeing3 » Wed Sep 13, 2017 11:41 pm

stuffradio wrote:
Typeing3 wrote:I believe the September update of the jamestec came out today. Could someone post it? I can't seem to access the site.

Jamstec DJF.gif

:shock: Wow. A lot of the models seem to be converging on a pattern like this. Im assuming it also shows above average precip?
Near Lougheed Hwy and Chilko Dr, Coquitlam. Elevation 25m(80ft).

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Catnip
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Posts: 1842
Location: Coquitlam

Re: Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

Postby Catnip » Thu Sep 14, 2017 9:36 am

Wouldn't it be something to be able to skate on the local lakes two years in a row! (In this day in age)
Hoping for a Cold and Snowy December!

Coquitlam/Mundy Park
Elevation: 530ft

Personal Weather Station: http://tinyurl.com/ptjynsn

Michael1
Weather Fanatic
Posts: 511
Location: Parksville BC

Re: Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

Postby Michael1 » Thu Sep 14, 2017 10:38 am

Current PDO values have gone negative for july and August -0.5 and -0.68 respectively. For comparison, last years values for the same time frame were-1.06 and -0.68- after that they trended positive (barely) until June of this year. I'm interested to see how September this year trends.

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stuffradio
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Posts: 2754
Location: Maple Ridge

Re: Winter 2017/18 Discussion and Forecasts

Postby stuffradio » Thu Sep 14, 2017 11:26 am



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