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Re: Alberta weather - 2018

Posted: Tue Feb 20, 2018 4:00 pm
by Glacier
lightningmanAB wrote:For Nunavut, drought conditions were not analyzed. When did the snowpack become above normal? The date on the map is Jan 31st so hopefully the extra snow has eased some of the drought in the BC interior. The drought in southern Sask is real and for now is a concern... until they get some rain.

Jan 31st/Feb 1st snow pack update indicated normal or above in most of BC. Since then it's far above normal, especially up around Williams Lake where it's been the wettest February on record.

Re: Alberta weather - 2018

Posted: Tue Feb 20, 2018 5:20 pm
by lightningmanAB
A roof at an arena in Calgary has collapsed this afternoon. I assume the weight of the snow on the roof was the primary cause.
roof.PNG

Re: Alberta weather - 2018

Posted: Tue Feb 20, 2018 7:33 pm
by lightningmanAB
Glacier wrote:
lightningmanAB wrote:For Nunavut, drought conditions were not analyzed. When did the snowpack become above normal? The date on the map is Jan 31st so hopefully the extra snow has eased some of the drought in the BC interior. The drought in southern Sask is real and for now is a concern... until they get some rain.

Jan 31st/Feb 1st snow pack update indicated normal or above in most of BC. Since then it's far above normal, especially up around Williams Lake where it's been the wettest February on record.

I should look into it further but I suspect that because the soil moisture was depleted so badly last summer perhaps the precipitation as of Jan 31st did not fully end the drought conditions yet.

Re: Alberta weather - 2018

Posted: Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:24 am
by Typeing3
Bad news for the developping drought in Saskatchewan...
Image

Re: Alberta weather - 2018

Posted: Wed Feb 21, 2018 8:06 am
by lightningmanAB
Typeing3 wrote:Bad news for the developping drought in Saskatchewan...
Image


Yikes.
Hopefully the forecast from NOAA verifies instead:
p01.2c.gif

Re: Alberta weather - 2018

Posted: Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:02 am
by lightningmanAB
Today's 12Z GFS has brought a little hope for south Sask. This solution is different than previous runs. Most of this precip progged is from a system that may cross the area on Saturday. Hope it holds:
GFS1.JPG

GFS2.JPG

Re: Alberta weather - 2018

Posted: Tue Feb 27, 2018 9:57 am
by lightningmanAB
Watching the evolution of the storm this weekend from run to run. Hoping for more precip for eastern Montana but at least parts of southern Sask are still progged to get a little moisture:
GFS1.JPG

GFS2.JPG

Re: Alberta weather - 2018

Posted: Fri Mar 02, 2018 8:57 am
by lightningmanAB
The areas affected by drought in the US northern plains will receive some good precipitation according to the GFS. Lines up nicely. Good for crops and summer storms!
droughtUSA.JPG

GFSMar2.JPG

Re: Alberta weather - 2018

Posted: Tue Mar 06, 2018 2:51 pm
by Typeing3
lightningmanAB wrote:The areas affected by drought in the US northern plains will receive some good precipitation according to the GFS. Lines up nicely. Good for crops and summer storms!
droughtUSA.JPG
GFSMar2.JPG

Good for southern SK and MB as well.

Re: Alberta weather - 2018

Posted: Wed Mar 07, 2018 8:50 pm
by lightningmanAB
Typeing3 wrote:
lightningmanAB wrote:The areas affected by drought in the US northern plains will receive some good precipitation according to the GFS. Lines up nicely. Good for crops and summer storms!
droughtUSA.JPG
GFSMar2.JPG

Good for southern SK and MB as well.

Yup! I was waiting for that updated Canadian map to come out. :)